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Three down six to go - Is Earth past the tipping point?

Scientists can have a heart, too.

Biodiversity loss. Land use. Freshwater use. Nitrogen and phosphorus cycles. Stratospheric ozone. Ocean acidification. Climate change. Chemical Pollution. Aerosol loading in the atmosphere.

Foley’s team was so moved by the research effort that it put together a compelling video (see below) dramatizing the situation, generated entirely with typography, graphics and energizing music. You can learn more about the team’s work at its research site, too.

Jon Foley, director of the University of Minnesota’s Institute on the Environment, and a leader of the group, lays out the limits and their implications for human action in an article in Scientific American’s April issue.

Amid some controversy, the group has set numeric limits for seven of the nine so far (chemical pollution and aerosol loading are still being pinned down). And the researchers have determined that the world has already crossed the boundary in three cases: biodiversity loss, the nitrogen cycle and climate change.Read more at www.scientificamerican.com
 

The pyschology of tragedy - Extinction? I’m afraid haven’t got time for it

The economy works by making people selfish. Mass extinction is merely collateral damage.

Amplifyd from www.timesonline.co.uk

Species are going extinct because humans can’t see it happening, and therefore we can’t believe it is happening. It is as simple as that.

Believing that the elephant will no longer be around is like believing that one day the sun will rise in the west and the stars will fall as rain.

We can only really get a handle on the short-term. A generation at most. Long-term planning means the next year or two. Our minds can’t cope with anything longer. That’s why we choose to govern ourselves by means of a comfortable timescale. Four years, five years: that’s Politician’s Time.

Extinction is a happening thing, as I have pointed out more than once before. But it is happening in slow motion: you don’t see a monkey turn into a man, and you don’t see an animal go extinct. It’s just that one day you notice that they haven’t been about for a few years. The current rate of extinction is one species an hour,
Which brings us to the disaster of Cites. TRead more at www.timesonline.co.uk
 

Green money laundering? - WWF hopes to find $60 billion growing on trees

If they used the money to buy more forests, and then do the scam again, then it would pretty neat.

Amplifyd from www.telegraph.co.uk

If it then emerged, however, that a hidden agenda of the scheme to preserve this chunk of the forest was to allow the WWF and its partners to share the selling of carbon credits worth $60 billion, to enable firms in the industrial world to carry on emitting CO2 just as before, more than a few eyebrows might be raised. The idea is that credits representing the CO2 locked into this particular area of jungle – so remote that it is not under any threat – should be sold on the international market, allowing thousands of companies in the developed world to buy their way out of having to restrict their carbon emissions. The net effect would simply be to make the WWF and its partners much richer while making no contribution to lowering overall CO2 emissions.

The IPCC’s claim that 40 per cent of the forest is threatened by global warming, it turned out, was not based on any scientific evidence, but simply on WWF propaganda, Read more at www.telegraph.co.uk
 

Follow-the-leader - Is Web 2.0 being led down a blind alley? (2)

Dare I say that Amplify could be improved in this regard.

Amplifyd from www.ikmagazine.com
most people are interested in a wide variety of topics. What doesn’t happen to overlap adds to the overheads of useless hits, which waste time and electricity.

However, the most serious drawback of the follow the leader paradigm may be the tendency for early members of a group who, as a consequence, have the greatest number of followers, to more or less dominate the proceedings thereafter. Then, of course, there is the massive distortion caused by the celebrity factor in early 21st century culture.

The difficulty is not about recommendations being a measure of value. After all, that is what Eugene Garfield’s Science Citation Index is all about – the more an author is cited, the more he is deemed to have contributed to the subject in question. What is lacking in the follow the leader paradigm is context, in order to give at least some idea of where people are going with social media contributions. Some kind of directory of interests based on questions in user profiles would be a start.Read more at www.ikmagazine.com
 

Follow-the-leader - Is Web 2.0 being led down a blind alley? (1)

I recommend reading the whole article, but then I would because I wrote it.

Amplifyd from www.ikmagazine.com
The idea is that somehow through the ‘wisdom of crowds’ this system of recommendations delivers the best knowledge, fastest, to the people who want or need to know
in the new era of social media, massive information flows are no longer organised in terms of ‘about-ness’, but in terms of ‘who-ness’. It’s not what you know, but who you know. This trend started on social networking sites, with the concepts of friends and feeds.
One of the cultural dynamics that reduces the value of information streams based on follow the leader is that many people follow others as a kind of thank-you for following them. Many others follow people principally to boost their own follower numbers. So, who is following who is a very inefficient way of finding anything out in advance about content or its quality
Then, there’s the difficulty that people quite naturally seem reluctant to recommend unpleasant news to their followers,
potentially eliminating the most important items.Read more at www.ikmagazine.com
 

Soap box - Pity the intelligent robot makers






They are working so hard in the dark, since they don’t know what intelligence is, how it is done, or how it is mashed up with purpose, consciousness and experience. They are working with an essentially Platonic understanding of reality i.e. there is a non socially constructed truth and meaning out there – which is more than 2000 years out of date.


There were real technology breakthroughs in the 1970s, when computers made all text searchable using Boolean AND, OR, NOT ‘operators’, automatic sorting became possible and relational databases were invented. Since then, it has served the interests of computer companies to pretend to put what they call ‘intelligence’ into their machines, rather than enable people to use the real technology breakthroughs of the 1970s more intelligently.


I am afraid that this is yet another profit-driven tragedy wasting billions which could have been invested in enhancing the intelligent use of the technology on what is essentially a chimera based on a misunderstanding about the nature of human intelligence. More than 30 years have been wasted.


Luckily, some of us who had the privilege of working with real masters of database development, are still around who believe that the real opportunities around these technologies lie in the development of the collaborative intelligence of users.


The application of this human intelligence is why I obtain so much more useful information from Amplify, than from Google. It is why Amplify is so important as an early form of collaborative intelligence.


Sacrificed on the alter of greed - World votes to continue trading in species on verge of extinction

Millions of years of evolution and experience are being wiped out. The only way it will stop is if internationally traded currencies lose their value, and the global economy comes to a halt. So there may yet be a chance the slaughter could end.

Amplifyd from www.timesonline.co.uk
African elephants remain at risk from poachers

Proposals to ban trade in bluefin tuna and polar bears were overwhelmingly rejected yesterday at the Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species (Cites), meeting in Doha, Qatar.

A plan for a 20-year ban on ivory sales, to protect African elephants, is also likely to fail in the coming days — partly because Britain and other members of the EU are refusing to support it.
Only 20 of the 120 countries at the meeting voted to ban trade in the bluefin.
The Cites process, which requires a two-thirds majority for a proposal to be adopted, is vulnerable to well-funded lobbying by countries and industries that depend on trade in a species. The vested interests exploit uncertainties in the estimates of population numbers, and strike backroom deals to secure the votes of developing countries where endangered species are far down the list of political priorities.

Asian-run crime syndicates are able to pass off illegal ivory as coming from stockpiles sold with Cites approval.

Read more at www.timesonline.co.uk
 

Crisis 2.5 in the air - Markets spooked as Greek rescue plan crumbles

Despite a month of trying, there has been no success in papering over the cracks in the Euro.

Amplifyd from www.telegraph.co.uk

Europe’s rescue plan for Greece appears to be crumbling after the country threatened to call in the International Monetary Fund unless Brussels comes up with real money on acceptable terms within a week.

The inability of the eurozone to put together a viable package after a month of talks has dismayed markets, which thought the terms of a deal had already been agreed.
The euro fell two cents against the dollar to below $1.36.
Greek Premier George Papandreou told the European Parliament that his country
is in effect already subject to the full rigours of an IMF-style austerity plan but without enjoying any of the benefits.
savings from cost-cutting measures were vanishing into the pockets of bond-holders through higher interest rates.
a German-led bloc of states is also warming to the IMF
IMF route is fraught with danger
completely undermines the credibility of monetary union.
If they can’t help out a small country like Greece, its not worth going on with the project. Read more at www.telegraph.co.uk
 

Today – The Avenue way is open

An overgrown,  disused ride becomes a new Avenue which will, in a few years time, be lined by great trees. It’s a lucky thing, too, since we will be able to use Ford Dexter to pull the charcoal wood out now. In future, the Avenue will make it possible to pull out the harvests of  thousands of hazel spar gads and poles.

The Avenue - Westbound

The Avenue - Eastbound

The Avenue - Eastbound

Read more at worldwidewood.wordpress.com
 

Yesterday – Order emerging from chaos

Andrew and billhook take a break

There is no doubt that it’s hard work. Trunks of the felled trees have to be sawn in half, and all the side branches chopped off with the billhook. The side branches or ‘brash’ must be picked up off the ground and laid in lines called, ‘wind rows’, while the trunks have to be dragged and piled up next to the rides.

Bend, lift, saw, chop over and over and over again without the help of any machinery,  just as our ancestors did for hundreds of years.

The result is a new landscape with straight young oak and ash trees planted by the previous owner which in 50 years time will make the high canopy to be then further thinned for timber.  During this time, it will be possible to cut approximately 10 hazel crops of thousands of gads and poles each.

Cherry and oak trunks with wind rows behind them

Wind rows make an excellent habitat for birds and bugs. After a few years, they rot down giving a place  to live for fungi and other micro-organisms Read more at worldwidewood.wordpress.com